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005			20161006143939.0
008			161006s2010 nyuabf b 001 0 eng
010			_a 2010029553
020			_a9780452297470
020			_a9780525951810 (hc)
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040			_aDLC _cDLC _dBTCTA _dYDXCP _dEINCP _dC#P _dBUR _dBWX _dCDX _dVP@ _dZJI _dIAD _dDLC _dBD-DhAAL
050	0	0	_aGE149 _b.S622 2010
082	0	0	_a304.209051 _222
999			_c37830 _d37830
999			_c37830
100	1		_aSmith, Laurence C. _920588
245	1	4	_aThe world in 2050 : _bfour forces shaping civilization's northern future / _cLaurence C. Smith.
246	3		_aWorld in two thousand fifty
246	3		_aWorld in twenty-fifty
260			_aNew York : _bDutton ; _bPenguin _cc2011
300			_a322 p., [8] p. of plates : _bill., maps ; _c24 cm.
504			_aIncludes bibliographical references (p. 263-307) and index.
505	0		_aFlying into Fort McMurray -- Martell's hairy prize -- The push. A tale of teeming cities -- Iron, oil, and wind -- California browning, Shanghai drowning -- The pull. Two weddings and a computer model -- One if by land, two if by sea -- The third wave -- Good-bye harpoon, hello briefcase -- Alternate endings. The Pentagon report -- The new north.
520			_a"A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting edge research into these world-changing forces: demographic trends; natural resource demand; climate change; globalization"--Jacket flap.
520			_aWhat kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description.
526			_aBIGD
650		0	_aGlobal environmental change _xForecasting. _920589
650		0	_aClimatic changes _xForecasting. _920590
650		0	_aTwenty-first century _vForecasts. _920591
942			_2ddc _cBK