Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction

This thesis is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Computer Science and Engineering, 2022.

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijä: Hellen, Nakayiza
Muut tekijät: Alam, Dr. Md. Ashraful
Aineistotyyppi: Opinnäyte
Kieli:en_US
Julkaistu: BRAC University 2022
Aiheet:
Linkit:http://hdl.handle.net/10361/17501
id 10361-17501
record_format dspace
spelling 10361-175012023-10-25T03:03:34Z Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction Hellen, Nakayiza Alam, Dr. Md. Ashraful Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Brac University Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) Machine Learning (ML) Ensemble Learning Water Quality Public Health Model Calibration Machine learning Water quality--Congresses. This thesis is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Computer Science and Engineering, 2022. Cataloged from PDF version of thesis. Includes bibliographical references (pages 55-59). Water is a key necessity for survival and sustenance of all living creatures. In the past years, the quality of water has been adversely affected by pollutants and other harmful wastes. This increased water pollution deteriorates water quality, making it unfit for any type of use most especially compromising the safety of drinking water for public health. The ecological safety and human health have continuously lowered due to hazardous pollution factors like chemicals and pathogens. By monitoring the Water Quality data parameters and forecasting them to get early warning, we can manage the quality of the water for different water sources. Numerous innovative technologies are slowly replacing human labor and other state of the art methods in water quality evaluation. Recently, different machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques have been adopted for water quality modeling which has become very beneficial in assessment and management of water resources. However, they suffer many times from high computational complexity, high prediction error and the blackbox nature in which they remain. Another big challenge faced by policy makers and other responsible Public Health Authorities is the lack of a relatively generalizable model for water quality prediction for public consumption with provision of explanations for understanding the most influential water quality parameters. This work presents an Explainable Artificial Intelligence method, SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) to transparently and explainably assess the most important metrics that these models use in determining water quality based on potability. We also model a robust generalizable calibrated ensemble machine learning model for water quality prediction based on water potability and other water quality metrics from various water quality samples around the world. We then implement Automated Machine Learning with Stacked Ensembling to compare its results with those achieved by the Soft Voting Ensemble Model. The simulated results will provide theoretical support to policy makers and would be of interest to water planners in terms of assessing or maintaining water quality and improving sustainable pollu tion control, water and ecological management plans of water resources as well as early risk assessment and prevention in water environment in a simple, fast and cost-effective way which will protect the health of the people. Nakayiza Hellen M. Computer Science and Engineering 2022-10-08T11:02:43Z 2022-10-08T11:02:43Z 2022 2022-08 Thesis ID: 21166042 http://hdl.handle.net/10361/17501 en_US Brac University theses are protected by copyright. They may be viewed from this source for any purpose, but reproduction or distribution in any format is prohibited without written permission. 59 Pages application/pdf BRAC University
institution Brac University
collection Institutional Repository
language en_US
topic Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Machine Learning (ML)
Ensemble Learning
Water Quality
Public Health
Model Calibration
Machine learning
Water quality--Congresses.
spellingShingle Explainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Machine Learning (ML)
Ensemble Learning
Water Quality
Public Health
Model Calibration
Machine learning
Water quality--Congresses.
Hellen, Nakayiza
Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
description This thesis is submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Computer Science and Engineering, 2022.
author2 Alam, Dr. Md. Ashraful
author_facet Alam, Dr. Md. Ashraful
Hellen, Nakayiza
format Thesis
author Hellen, Nakayiza
author_sort Hellen, Nakayiza
title Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
title_short Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
title_full Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
title_fullStr Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
title_full_unstemmed Explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
title_sort explainable artificial intelligence and model calibration for water quality prediction
publisher BRAC University
publishDate 2022
url http://hdl.handle.net/10361/17501
work_keys_str_mv AT hellennakayiza explainableartificialintelligenceandmodelcalibrationforwaterqualityprediction
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