02958nam a2200385 a 4500 31367 BD-DhAAL 20161006143939.0 161006s2010 nyuabf b 001 0 eng 2010029553 9780452297470 9780525951810 (hc) 0525951814 (hc) DLC DLC BTCTA YDXCP EINCP C#P BUR BWX CDX VP@ ZJI IAD DLC BD-DhAAL GE149 .S622 2010 304.209051 22 37830 37830 37830 Smith, Laurence C. 20588 The world in 2050 : four forces shaping civilization's northern future / Laurence C. Smith. World in two thousand fifty World in twenty-fifty New York : Dutton ; Penguin c2011 322 p., [8] p. of plates : ill., maps ; 24 cm. Includes bibliographical references (p. 263-307) and index. Flying into Fort McMurray -- Martell's hairy prize -- The push. A tale of teeming cities -- Iron, oil, and wind -- California browning, Shanghai drowning -- The pull. Two weddings and a computer model -- One if by land, two if by sea -- The third wave -- Good-bye harpoon, hello briefcase -- Alternate endings. The Pentagon report -- The new north. "A vivid, scientifically based forecast of our planet in forty years, distilling cutting edge research into these world-changing forces: demographic trends; natural resource demand; climate change; globalization"--Jacket flap. What kind of world are we leaving for our children and grandchildren? Geoscientist Laurence Smith draws on the latest global modeling research to construct a sweeping thought experiment on what our world will be like in 2050. The result is both good news and bad: Eight nations of the Arctic Rim (including the United States) will become increasingly prosperous, powerful, and politically stable, while those closer to the equator will face water shortages, aging populations, and crowded megacities sapped by the rising costs of energy and coastal flooding. Smith combines the lessons of geography and history with state-of-the-art model projections and analytical data--everything from climate dynamics and resource stocks to age distributions and economic growth projections. But Smith offers more than a compendium of statistics and studies--he spent fifteen months traveling the Arctic Rim, collecting stories and insights that resonate throughout the book.--From publisher description. BIGD 31367 Global environmental change Forecasting. 20589 Climatic changes Forecasting. 20590 Twenty-first century Forecasts. 20591 ddc BK 0 0 ddc 0 304_209051000000000_SMI 0 59669 IGS IGS GEN 2016-09-25 Trim Education 1566.00 0 304.209051 SMI 3010031367 2016-10-02 1 1566.00 2016-09-25 BK