Determinants of Ex-Ante Banking System Distress : A Macro-Micro Empirical Exploration of Some Recent Episodes /

This paper empirically analyzes the contribution of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors in five recent episodes of banking system problems in the U.S. Southwest (1986-92), Northeast (1991-92), and California (1992-93); Mexico (1994-95); and Colombia (1982-87). The paper finds that a low capital...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Gonzalez-Hermosillo, Brenda
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/033
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper empirically analyzes the contribution of microeconomic and macroeconomic factors in five recent episodes of banking system problems in the U.S. Southwest (1986-92), Northeast (1991-92), and California (1992-93); Mexico (1994-95); and Colombia (1982-87). The paper finds that a low capital equity and reserve coverage of problem loans ratio is a leading indicator of bank distress, signaling a high likelihood of near-term failure. Distress is shown to be a function of the same fundamental macro-micro sources of risk that determine bank failures. Focusing on distress has the advantage that the fragility of the banking system can be assessed before a crisis actually occurs.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (114 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students