Booms and Slumps in World Commodity Prices /

This paper examines the duration and magnitude of commodity-price cycles. It finds that for most commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger than how far they rebound in a subsequent boom. There is little evidence of a consist...

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Manylion Llyfryddiaeth
Prif Awdur: McDermott, C.
Awduron Eraill: Cashin, Paul, Scott, Alasdair
Fformat: Cylchgrawn
Iaith:English
Cyhoeddwyd: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Cyfres:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/155
Mynediad Ar-lein:Full text available on IMF
Disgrifiad
Crynodeb:This paper examines the duration and magnitude of commodity-price cycles. It finds that for most commodities, price slumps last longer than price booms. How far prices fall in a slump is found to be slightly larger than how far they rebound in a subsequent boom. There is little evidence of a consistent 'shape' to commodity-price cycles. For all commodities, the probability of an end to a slump in prices is independent of the time already spent in the slump, and for most commodities, the probability of an end to a boom in prices is independent of the time already spent in the boom.
Disgrifiad o'r Eitem:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Disgrifiad Corfforoll:1 online resource (25 pages)
Fformat:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Mynediad:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students