El Nino and World Primary Commodity Prices : Warm Water or Hot Air? /
This paper examines the historical effects of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) cycle on world prices and economic activity. The analysis indicates that ENSO has economically-important and statistically-significant effects on world real commodity prices. A one-standard-deviation positive surpr...
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| Format: | Journal |
| Language: | English |
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Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2000.
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| Series: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2000/203 |
| Online Access: | Full text available on IMF |