Monetary Policy Credibility and the Unemployment-Inflation Tradeoff : Some Evidence From 17 Industrial Countries /

Using data on long-term interest rates for 17 industrial countries, this paper develops some simple measures of monetary policy credibility and then tests if such measures improve the out-of-sample forecasts of conventional models of the inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evide...

Полное описание

Библиографические подробности
Главный автор: N'Diaye, Papa
Другие авторы: Laxton, Douglas
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/220
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF
Описание
Итог:Using data on long-term interest rates for 17 industrial countries, this paper develops some simple measures of monetary policy credibility and then tests if such measures improve the out-of-sample forecasts of conventional models of the inflation-unemployment process. The results provide some evidence in favor of the Lucas critique by showing that the short-run unemployment-inflation trade-off tends to improve in countries that are successful in providing low and stable inflation.
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Объем:1 online resource (39 pages)
Формат:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Доступ:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students