01737cas a2200241 a 4500 AALejournalIMF003411 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781451860511 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Krichene, Noureddine. A Simultaneous Equations Model for World Crude Oil and Natural Gas Markets / Noureddine Krichene. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005. 1 online resource (24 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students A model for world crude oil and natural gas markets is estimated. It confirms low price and high income elasticities of demand for both crude oil and natural gas, which explains the market power of oil producers and price volatility following shocks. The paper establishes a relationship between oil prices, changes in the nominal effective exchange rate (NEER) of the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. interest rates, thereby identifying demand shocks arising from monetary policy. Both interest rates and the NEER are shown to influence crude prices inversely. The results imply that crude oil prices should be included in the policy rule equation of an inflation targeting model. Mode of access: Internet IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/032 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2005/032/001.2005.issue-032-en.xml IMF e-Library