02193cas a2200325 a 4500 AALejournalIMF003414 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781451856484 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Yuan, Mingwei. China's Imports : An Empirical Analysis Using Johansen's Cointegration Approach / Mingwei Yuan, Kalpana Kochhar. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1994. 1 online resource (38 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students In this paper, the behavior of China's imports during the period 1980-92 is studied. The estimation of cointegration and error correction mechanisms enables the separation of the long-run and short-run determinants of imports in China. The estimated cointegrating vector using Johansen's cointegration approach shows that, in the long run, China's imports are sensitive to changes in output, relative prices, and foreign exchange reserves. It also shows that the short-run output elasticity of imports is much greater than that in the long run, suggesting that import substitution may have been an important factor over the sample period. The forecasting ability of a conventional partial adjustment import function is then compared with that of the Johansen cointegration model; the Johansen model is shown to outperform the conventional one in forecasting accuracy. Mode of access: Internet Foreign Exchange Allocation imf Import Demand Model imf Import imf Regime imf WP imf China, People's Republic of imf Kochhar, Kalpana. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1994/145 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1994/145/001.1994.issue-145-en.xml IMF e-Library