A Monetary Impulse Measure for Medium-Term Policy Analysis /

The paper presents a measure of monetary impulse that is intended to reflect the medium-term inflationary implications of a nation's current monetary policy. The measure consists of the growth rate of the monetary base, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and augmented by an implicit forec...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: McCallum, Bennett
Other Authors: Hargraves, Monica
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1994.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1994/146
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:The paper presents a measure of monetary impulse that is intended to reflect the medium-term inflationary implications of a nation's current monetary policy. The measure consists of the growth rate of the monetary base, adjusted for reserve requirement changes and augmented by an implicit forecast of future growth rates of base velocity. Time series plots of the impulse measure for the G-7 countries are presented, and are compared with plots of inflation and of two alternative monetary indicators-the yield curve slope and the growth rate of a broad monetary aggregate. The impulse measure serves well as a medium-term indicator of future inflation, and on balance matches or outperforms the alternative indicators.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (34 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students