01772cas a2200253 a 4500 AALejournalIMF006095 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781451873665 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Kannan, Prakash. The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion / Prakash Kannan, Fritzi Kohler-Geib. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009. 1 online resource (40 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new channel of contagion where the degree of anticipation of crises, through its impact on investor uncertainty, determines the occurrence of contagion. Incidences of surprise crises lead investors to doubt the accuracy of their informationgathering technology, which endogenously increases the probability of crises elsewhere. Anticipated crisis, instead, have the opposite effect. Importantly, this channel is empirically shown to have an independent effect beyond other contagion channels. Mode of access: Internet Kohler-Geib, Fritzi. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/219 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2009/219/001.2009.issue-219-en.xml IMF e-Library