02064cas a2200265 a 4500 AALejournalIMF006612 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781455201785 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Zhang, Yanan. Local Housing Market Cycle and Loss Given Default : Evidence from Sub-Prime Residential Mortgages / Yanan Zhang, Lu Ji, Fei Liu. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010. 1 online resource (29 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper studies the impact of housing market cycles on loss given default (LGD). Previous studies have shown that the current loan-to-value ratio (CLTV) is the most important determinant of LGD. This paper establishes another linkage which is between the house price cycles before the time of mortgage origination and LGD. The empirical analysis is based on a large loan-level sub-prime residential mortgage loss dataset from 1998 to 2009. Results show that house price history has a long memory in explaining LGD. Its explanatory power far exceeds the original LTV and other loan characteristics. This paper offers a countercyclical view of LGD risk. The model can be combined with a default probability model to serve as a regulatory prudential tool. Such a tool provides a solution to the inherent procyclical bias in BASEL II capital requirements, and can contribute to the safety and soundness of banking institutions. Mode of access: Internet Ji, Lu. Liu, Fei. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/167 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2010/167/001.2010.issue-167-en.xml IMF e-Library