Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation /

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation /

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cross-country panel of growth forecasts and new methodological insights, this paper finds...

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Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter:	Crowe, Christopher
Format:	Tidsskrift
Sprog:	English
Udgivet:	Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serier:	IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/178
Fag:	Consensus Forecasts Information Aggregation Math Table WP United States
Online adgang:	Full text available on IMF

Lignende værker

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Udgivet: (2007)

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Udgivet: (2018)

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Okun's Law, Development, and Demographics : Differences in the Cyclical Sensitivities of Unemployment Across Economy and Worker Groups /
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Inequality in the Spanish Labor Market During the COVID-19 Crisis /
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Informational Efficiency, Interest Rate Variability, and Central Bank Operations.
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Regional Disparities and Fiscal Federalism in Russia /
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Udgivet: (2021)

Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting /
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Taking Stock of IMF Capacity Development on Monetary Policy Forecasting and Policy Analysis Systems /
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Will COVID-19 Have Long-Lasting Effects on Inequality? : Evidence from Past Pandemics /
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The Rise in Inequality after Pandemics : Can Fiscal Support Play a Mitigating Role? /
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Will the Economic Impact of COVID-19 Persist? : Prognosis from 21st Century Pandemics /
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Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with An Application to a Trade Gravity Model /
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Udgivet: (2011)

Income and Democracy : Lipset's Law Revisited /
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Limited Information Bayesian Model Averaging for Dynamic Panels with Short Time Periods /
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A Pandemic Forecasting Framework : An Application of Risk Analysis /
af: Dizioli, Allan
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Authorities' Fiscal Forecasts in Latin America : Are They Optimistic? /
af: Hadzi-Vaskov, Metodij
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Do the Type of Sukuk and Choice of Shari'a Scholar Matter? /
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