01834cas a2200253 a 4500 AALejournalIMF007073 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781455218943 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Poplawski Ribeiro, Marcos. Fiscal Expectations Under the Stability and Growth Pact : Evidence from Survey Data / Marcos Poplawski Ribeiro, Jan-Christoph Rulke. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011. 1 online resource (40 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students The paper uses survey data to analyze whether financial market expectations on government budget deficits changed in France, Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom during the period of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP). Our findings indicate that accuracy of financial expert deficit forecasts increased in France. Convergence between the European Commission's and market experts' deficit forecasts also increased in France, Italy, and the United Kingdom, particularly during the period after SGP's reform in 2005. Yet, convergence between markets' forecasts and those of the French, German, and Italian national fiscal authorities seems not to have increased significantly during the SGP. Mode of access: Internet Rulke, Jan-Christoph. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/048 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/048/001.2011.issue-048-en.xml IMF e-Library