01963cas a2200253 a 4500 AALejournalIMF007092 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781455221059 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Espinoza, Raphael. How Strong are Fiscal Multipliers in the GCC? / Raphael Espinoza, Abdelhak Senhadji. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011. 1 online resource (20 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students The effectiveness of fiscal policy in smoothing the impact of shocks depends critically on the size of fiscal multipliers. This is particularly relevant for the GCC countries given the need for fiscal policy to cushion the economy from large terms of trade shocks in the absence of an independent monetary policy and where fiscal multipliers could be weak dues to substantial leakages through remittances and imports. The paper provides estimates of the size of fiscal multipliers using a variety of models. The focus is on government spending since tax revenues are small. The long-run multiplier estimates vary in the 0.3-0.7 range for current expenditure and 0.6-1.1 for capital spending, depending on the particular specification and estimation method chosen. These estimates fall within the range of fiscal multiplier estimates in the literature for non-oil emerging markets. Mode of access: Internet Senhadji, Abdelhak. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2011/061 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2011/061/001.2011.issue-061-en.xml IMF e-Library