01639cas a2200241 a 4500 AALejournalIMF007347 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781451954722 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Wickham, Peter. Volatility of Oil Prices / Peter Wickham. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1996. 1 online resource (20 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper examines the behavior of crude oil prices since 1980, and in particular the volatility of these prices. The empirical analysis covers 'spot' prices for one of the key internationally traded crudes, namely Dated Brent Blend. A GARCH (generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic) model, which allows the conditional variance to be time-variant, is estimated for the period which includes the oil price slump of 1986 and the surge in prices in 1990 as a result of the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait. The paper also discusses the growth of futures and derivative markets and the dynamic links between spot and futures markets. Mode of access: Internet IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1996/082 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/1996/082/001.1996.issue-082-en.xml IMF e-Library