Model Uncertainty. Learning, and the Gains from Coordination.

The paper considers gains from international economic policy coordination when there is uncertainty concerning the functioning of the world economy, but also learning about the 'true' model on the part of policymakers. The paper reports estimates of plausible alternative versions of a stan...

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Podrobná bibliografie
Korporativní autor: International Monetary Fund
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1988.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1988/114
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
Popis
Shrnutí:The paper considers gains from international economic policy coordination when there is uncertainty concerning the functioning of the world economy, but also learning about the 'true' model on the part of policymakers. The paper reports estimates of plausible alternative versions of a standard, two-country model. Activist policy (either coordinated or uncoordinated) may produce large welfare losses in the absence of learning, if policymakers believe in the wrong model; hence exogenous money targets and freely flexible exchange rates may be best. However, model learning (from observations on macroeconomic variables) causes coordinated policies to dominate activist uncoordinated policies or exogenous money targets.
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Fyzický popis:1 online resource (38 pages)
Médium:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Přístup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students