The Behavior of Real Interest Rates in Exchange-Rate Based Stabilization Programs /

This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on a model with imperfect capital mobility and optimizing agents. A permanent reduction in the devaluation rate is first shown to have an ambiguous effect on real interest rat...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Agenor, Pierre-Richard
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1994.
Series:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1994/075
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper examines the behavior of real interest rates in exchange-rate based stabilization programs. The analysis is based on a model with imperfect capital mobility and optimizing agents. A permanent reduction in the devaluation rate is first shown to have an ambiguous effect on real interest rates on impact. The analysis is then extended to consider a stabilization program characterized by an initial reduction in the rate of devaluation of the nominal exchange rate, and the announcement of a future increase in income taxes. The impact effect on real interest rates is shown to depend upon the degree of credibility of the announcement. Real interest rates may fall if agents do not believe that taxes will be raised, and rise if the future tax reform is sufficiently credible.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (46 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students