02017cas a2200253 a 4500 AALejournalIMF007903 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781451850307 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Sgherri, Silvia. The Macroeconomic Impact of HIV/AIDS in Botswana / Silvia Sgherri, Maitland MacFarlan. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2001. 1 online resource (42 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper provides an overview of the potential macroeconomic effects of HIV/AIDS in Botswana, focusing on the key channels through which the pandemic is likely to affect the economic outlook and on the uncertainties involved. To estimate the impact of HIV/AIDS, a dual-economy equilibrium model is constructed and simulated under different scenarios. Depending on exactly how AIDS affects the outlook, GDP growth is projected to fall from around 5 1\2 percent a year without the pandemic to between 1 1\2 and 2 1\2 percent a year with AIDS. Non-negligible redistribution effects across sectors and labor skill categories are also likely to arise. Finally, the paper draws attention to the potential effects of HIV/AIDS on the long-term fiscal position of Botswana, highlighting the need for increased international support and/or lower drug prices so that the widespread introduction of anti-retroviral drug treatments is feasible. Mode of access: Internet MacFarlan, Maitland. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2001/080 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2001/080/001.2001.issue-080-en.xml IMF e-Library