01619cas a2200241 a 4500 AALejournalIMF008304 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781455291625 1020-8313 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL International Monetary Fund. Research Dept. IMF Research Bulletin, March 2010. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010. 1 online resource (12 pages) IMF Research Bulletin <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper provides a brief overview of the latest research on the ability of forecasters to predict recessions. The paper highlights that few recessions have been forecast before their onset. Forecasters tend to be excessively cautious and do not revise their forecasts promptly and sufficiently to reflect incoming news. Nor do they fully take into account interdependence among economies. This paper also focuses on robust growth determinants highlighting that a fundamental problem confronting researchers is the lack of an explicit theory identifying the determinants of growth. Mode of access: Internet IMF Research Bulletin; IMF Research Bulletin ; No. 2010/001 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/026/2010/001/026.2010.issue-001-en.xml IMF e-Library