02267cas a2200241 a 4500 AALejournalIMF011617 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781463931179 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL International Monetary Fund. Commodity Price Volatility and the Sources of Growth. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012. 1 online resource (45 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper studies the impact of the level and volatility of the commodity terms of trade on economic growth, as well as on the three main growth channels: total factor productivity, physical capital accumulation, and human capital acquisition. We use the standard system GMM approach as well as a cross-sectionally augmented version of the pooled mean group (CPMG) methodology of Pesaran and others (1999) for estimation. The latter takes account of cross-country heterogeneity and cross-sectional dependence, while the former controls for biases associated with simultaneity and unobserved country-specific effects. Using both annual data for 1970-2007 and five-year non-overlapping observations, we find that while commodity terms of trade growth enhances real output per capita, volatility exerts a negative impact on economic growth operating mainly through lower accumulation of physical capital. Our results indicate that the negative growth effects of commodity terms of trade volatility offset the positive impact of commodity booms; and export diversification of primary commodity abundant countries contribute to faster growth. Therefore, we argue that volatility, rather than abundance per se, drives the "resource curse" paradox. Mode of access: Internet IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/012 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2012/012/001.2012.issue-012-en.xml IMF e-Library