Modeling with Limited Data : Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia /

This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of 'growth diagnostics'. The framework is used to forecast potential growth for Cambodia, and to conduct simulations about the main drivers of grow...

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Tác giả chính: Rungcharoenkitkul, Phurichai
Định dạng: Tạp chí
Ngôn ngữ:English
Được phát hành: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2012.
Loạt:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2012/096
Truy cập trực tuyến:Full text available on IMF
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500 |a <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required 
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520 3 |a This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of 'growth diagnostics'. The framework is used to forecast potential growth for Cambodia, and to conduct simulations about the main drivers of growth in that country. The main result is that Cambodia compares less favorably against other lower-income Asian economies in terms of its investment rate, which in turn is constrained by the poor quality of its infrastructure. Bridging this gap can lift Cambodia's potential growth by more than one percentage point. 
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