Is South Africa Receiving More than Its Fair Share of Portfolio Flows? /

This paper develops an empirical model of the drivers of portfolio flows, and concludes that South Africa has indeed received greater bond flows than can be explained by macroeconomic fundamentals. Bond flows in the four quarters through 2010:Q3 not only exceeded the average over the past 10 years,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Gray, Gavin
Other Authors: Asonuma, Tamon
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2011.
Series:Departmental Papers; Departmental Paper ; No. 2011/003
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:This paper develops an empirical model of the drivers of portfolio flows, and concludes that South Africa has indeed received greater bond flows than can be explained by macroeconomic fundamentals. Bond flows in the four quarters through 2010:Q3 not only exceeded the average over the past 10 years, but also deviated significantly from the amount implied by explanatory variables, including the fiscal balance, the difference between the country's and world GDP growth rates and a summary indicator of external vulnerabilities. Some capital market factors specific to South Africa irrelevant to macro variables, such as size of capital market, which are reflected in remarkably high fixed effect compared to other emerging countries, have contributed to attracting equity flow.
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Physical Description:1 online resource (26 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:2616-5333
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students