02070cas a2200277 a 4500 AALejournalIMF014130 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781484345726 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Anand, Rahul. Potential Growth in Emerging Asia / Rahul Anand, Kevin Cheng, Sidra Rehman, Longmei Zhang. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014. 1 online resource (26 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students Using three distinct approaches-statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model- this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Vietnam) during 1993-2013. The main findings include: (i) both China and India have recently exhibited a slowdown in potential growth, largely reflecting a decline of total factor productivity (TFP) growth; (ii) by contrast, trend growth for the five ASEAN countries has been rather stable and might even have increased marginally, with the notable exception of Vietnam;(iii) over the longer term, demographic factors will be much more supportive in India and some ASEAN economies than in China, where working-age population should start shrinking, with the overall dependency ratio climbing by the end of this decade. Improving or sustaining potential growth calls for broad structural reforms. Mode of access: Internet Cheng, Kevin. Rehman, Sidra. Zhang, Longmei. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/002 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2014/002/001.2014.issue-002-en.xml IMF e-Library