01591cas a2200253 a 4500 AALejournalIMF014523 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781498309820 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Ho, Giang. Growth : Now and Forever? / Giang Ho, Paolo Mauro. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2014. 1 online resource (27 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students Forecasters often predict continued rapid economic growth into the medium and long term for countries that have recently experienced strong growth. Using long-term forecasts of economic growth from the IMF/World Bank staff Debt Sustainability Analyses for a panel of countries, we show that the baseline forecasts are more optimistic than warranted by past international growth experience. Further, by comparing the IMF's World Economic Outlook forecasts with actual growth outcomes, we show that optimism bias is greater the longer the forecast horizon. Mode of access: Internet Mauro, Paolo. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2014/117 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2014/117/001.2014.issue-117-en.xml IMF e-Library