More Gray, More Volatile? : Aging and (Optimal) Monetary Policy /

The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward pressure on inflation and higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first...

Täydet tiedot

Bibliografiset tiedot
Päätekijä: Baksa, Daniel
Muut tekijät: Munkacsi, Zsuzsa
Aineistotyyppi: Aikakauslehti
Kieli:English
Julkaistu: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2019.
Sarja:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2019/198
Linkit:Full text available on IMF
Kuvaus
Yhteenveto:The evidence on the inflation impact of aging is mixed, and there is no evidence regarding the volatility of inflation. Based on advanced economies' data and a DSGE-OLG model, we find that aging leads to downward pressure on inflation and higher inflation volatility. Our paper is also the first, using this framework, to discuss how aging affects the transmission channels of monetary policy. We are also the first to examine aging and optimal central bank policies. As aging redistributes wealth among generations and the labor force becomes more scarce, our model suggests that aging makes monetary policy less effective and in more gray societies central banks should react more strongly to nominal variables.
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Ulkoasu:1 online resource (46 pages)
Aineistotyyppi:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pääsy:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students