Understanding India's Food Inflation : The Role of Demand and Supply Factors /

Over the past decade, India has seen a prolonged period of high inflation, to a large extent driven by persistently-high food inflation. This paper investigates the demand and supply factors behind the contribution of relative food inflation to headline CPI inflation. It concludes that in the absenc...

Ausführliche Beschreibung

Bibliographische Detailangaben
1. Verfasser: Anand, Rahul
Weitere Verfasser: Kumar, Naresh, Tulin, Volodymyr
Format: Zeitschrift
Sprache:English
Veröffentlicht: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2016.
Schriftenreihe:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2016/002
Online Zugang:Full text available on IMF
Beschreibung
Zusammenfassung:Over the past decade, India has seen a prolonged period of high inflation, to a large extent driven by persistently-high food inflation. This paper investigates the demand and supply factors behind the contribution of relative food inflation to headline CPI inflation. It concludes that in the absence of a stronger food supply growth response, food inflation may exceed non-food inflation by 2 1\2 -3 percentage points per year. The sustainability of a long-term inflation target of 4 percent under India's recently-adopted flexible inflation targeting framework will depend on enhancing food supply, agricultural market-based pricing, and reducing price distortions. A well-designed cereal buffer stock liquidation policy could also help mitigate food inflation volatility.
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Beschreibung:1 online resource (42 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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