Assessing Corporate Vulnerabilities in Indonesia : A Bottom-Up Default Analysis /

Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabiliti...

Fuld beskrivelse

Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Chan-Lau, Jorge
Andre forfattere: Miao, Weimin, Miyajima, Ken, Shin, Jongsoon
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/097
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivelse
Summary:Under adverse macroeconomic conditions, the potential realization of corporate sector vulnerabilities could pose major risks to the economy. This paper assesses corporate vulnerabilities in Indonesia by using a Bottom-Up Default Analysis (BuDA) approach, which allows projecting corporate probabilities of default (PDs) under different macroeconomic scenarios. In particular, a protracted recession and the ensuing currency depreciation could erode buffers on corporate balance sheets, pushing up the probabilities of default (PDs) in the corporate sector to the high levels observed during the Global Financial Crisis. While this is a low-probability scenario, the results suggest the need to closely monitor vulnerabilities and strengthen contingency plans.
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Fysisk beskrivelse:1 online resource (22 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Adgang:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students