01968cas a2200265 a 4500 AALejournalIMF018019 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781484324929 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Lanau, Sergi. Potential Growth in Colombia / Sergi Lanau, Jorge Roldos, Jose Daniel Rodriguez-Delgado. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017. 1 online resource (28 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students This paper uses a multivariate filter and a production function to project potential growth in Colombia, modeling in detail the impact of low oil prices on investment. The framework also captures the impact of current and planned policies on potential growth, including the peace agreement with the FARC, the tax reform, and 4G infrastructure projects. The analysis suggests the growth acceleration of the 2000s is unlikely to repeat itself in a world of lower oil prices. Potential growth is likely to moderate to a range of 2.8 to 4.1 percent. The 4G infrastructure projects and the tax reform will increase investment, partly offsetting the sharp decline in oil investment. Improvements in productivity are essential to lift potential growth, as the large increases in the labor force observed in the last 15 years are unlikely to continue. Mode of access: Internet Rodriguez-Delgado, Jose Daniel. Roldos, Jorge. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/238 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2017/238/001.2017.issue-238-en.xml IMF e-Library