Credit and Fiscal Multipliers in China /

We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for provincial credit and government expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a...

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Xehetasun bibliografikoak
Egile nagusia: Chen, Sophia
Beste egile batzuk: Ratnovski, Lev, Tsai, Pi-Han
Formatua: Aldizkaria
Hizkuntza:English
Argitaratua: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2017.
Saila:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2017/273
Sarrera elektronikoa:Full text available on IMF
Deskribapena
Gaia:We jointly estimate credit and fiscal multipliers in China. We use the tenure of the provincial party secretary, interacted with the type of stimulus used in other provinces, to obtain separate instruments for provincial credit and government expenditure. We estimate a fiscal multiplier of 0.8 and a credit multiplier of 0.2 in 2001-2015. The multipliers have changed over time. The fiscal multiplier has increased from 0.75 in 2001-2008 to 1.4 in 2010-2015. The credit multiplier has declined from 0.17 to zero over the same periods. Our results suggest that reducing credit growth in China is unlikely to disrupt output growth, whereas fiscal policy may be effective in supporting macroeconomic adjustment.
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Deskribapen fisikoa:1 online resource (26 pages)
Formatua:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Sartu:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students