02556cas a2200337 a 4500 AALejournalIMF022393 230101c9999 xx r poo 0 0eng d 5.00 USD 9781616358365 1018-5941 BD-DhAAL BD-DhAAL Bergant, Katharina. Winning the War? : New Evidence on the Measurement and the Determinants of Poverty in the United States / Katharina Bergant, Anke Weber, Andrea Medici. Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022. 1 online resource (41 pages) IMF Working Papers <strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required <strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students Using micro-data from household expenditure surveys, we document the evolution of consumption poverty in the United States over the last four decades. Employing a price index that appears appropriate for low income households, we show that poverty has not declined materially since the 1980s and even increased for the young. We then analyze which social and economic factors help explain the extent of poverty in the U.S. using probit, tobit, and machine learning techniques. Our results are threefold. First, we identify the poor as more likely to be minorities, without a college education, never married, and living in the Midwest. Second, the importance of some factors, such as race and ethnicity, for determining poverty has declined over the last decades but they remain significant. Third, we find that social and economic factors can only partially capture the likelihood of being poor, pointing to the possibility that random factors ("bad luck") could play a significant role. Mode of access: Internet Consumption Poverty imf Government Policy imf Measurement and Analysis of Poverty imf Methodology for Collecting, Estimating and Organizing Microeconomic Data imf Poverty, Inequality, Consumption, Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs imf Provision and Effects of Welfare Program imf Medici, Andrea. Weber, Anke. IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2022/004 Full text available on IMF http://elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/001/2022/004/001.2022.issue-004-en.xml IMF e-Library