Jordan : Technical Assistance Report-Forecasting Framework for Currency in Circulation.

The currency in circulation forecasting model presently used by the Central Bank of Jordan is aligned with international practices and provides a solid basis for liquidity management. The central bank uses an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with many indicator variables to mo...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Author: International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Format: Journal
Language:English
Published: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2022.
Series:IMF Staff Country Reports; Country Report ;No. 2022/101
Subjects:
Online Access:Full text available on IMF
Description
Summary:The currency in circulation forecasting model presently used by the Central Bank of Jordan is aligned with international practices and provides a solid basis for liquidity management. The central bank uses an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with many indicator variables to model binary seasonality and to capture special events. The ARIMA model is fitted on daily currency in circulation data using a standard maximum likelihood estimator. This ARIMA approach is aligned with the models traditionally used by central banks in emerging and middle-income countries.
Item Description:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Physical Description:1 online resource (38 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1934-7685
Access:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students