Cointegration and Long-Horizon Forecasting /

Imposing cointegration on a forecasting system, if cointegration is present, is believed to improve long-horizon forecasts. Contrary to this belief, at long horizons nothing is lost by ignoring cointegration when the forecasts are evaluated using standard multivariate forecast accuracy measures. In...

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Главный автор: Diebold, Francis
Другие авторы: Christoffersen, Peter
Формат: Журнал
Язык:English
Опубликовано: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997.
Серии:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1997/061
Предметы:
Online-ссылка:Full text available on IMF