Are Currency Crises Predictable? /

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchan...

Fuld beskrivelse

Bibliografiske detaljer
Hovedforfatter: Valdes, Rodrigo
Andre forfattere: Goldfajn, Ilan
Format: Tidsskrift
Sprog:English
Udgivet: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1997.
Serier:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1997/159
Online adgang:Full text available on IMF
Beskrivelse
Summary:This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expected depreciation obtained from survey data partially takes different measures of exchange rate misalignment into consideration, expectations fail to anticipate currency crises.
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Fysisk beskrivelse:1 online resource (19 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Adgang:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students