Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies : Further Empirical Results /

A bivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) model is used to test causal relations between the current account and the capital account in four emerging market economies. The results show that high capital mobility could be a major cause of current account instability. Therefore, macroeconomic policy to...

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Podrobná bibliografie
Hlavní autor: Carranza, Luis
Další autoři: Wong, Chorng-Huey
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1998.
Edice:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1998/103
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
Popis
Shrnutí:A bivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) model is used to test causal relations between the current account and the capital account in four emerging market economies. The results show that high capital mobility could be a major cause of current account instability. Therefore, macroeconomic policy to restore external balance must deal directly with capital inflows. The paper recommends making nominal exchange rate sufficiently flexible to avoid inconsistencies between short-run and long-run real exchange rates; complementing credit tightening by fiscal restraint to reduce interest rate differentials; and strengthening reforms and surveillance of the financial system to prevent banks from excessive risk taking.
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Fyzický popis:1 online resource (30 pages)
Médium:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Přístup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students