Monitoring Banking Sector Fragility : A Multivariate Logit Approach /

This paper explores how a multivariate logit empirical model of banking crisis probabilities can be used to monitor banking sector fragility. The proposed approach relies on readily available data, and the fragility assessment has a clear interpretation based on in-sample statistics. The model has b...

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Autor principal: Detragiache, Enrica
Altres autors: Demirguc-Kunt, Asli
Format: Revista
Idioma:English
Publicat: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Col·lecció:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/147
Accés en línia:Full text available on IMF
Descripció
Sumari:This paper explores how a multivariate logit empirical model of banking crisis probabilities can be used to monitor banking sector fragility. The proposed approach relies on readily available data, and the fragility assessment has a clear interpretation based on in-sample statistics. The model has better in-sample performance than currently available alternatives, and the monitoring system can be tailored to fit the preferences of the decision maker regarding type I and type II errors. The framework can be useful as a preliminary screen to economize on precautionary costs.
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Descripció física:1 online resource (27 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accés:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students