Macroeconomic Uncertainty, Precautionary Savings and the Current Account /

The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on priv...

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Λεπτομέρειες βιβλιογραφικής εγγραφής
Κύριος συγγραφέας: Ostry, Jonathan
Άλλοι συγγραφείς: Ghosh, Atish
Μορφή: Επιστημονικό περιοδικό
Γλώσσα:English
Έκδοση: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1992.
Σειρά:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1992/072
Διαθέσιμο Online:Full text available on IMF
Περιγραφή
Περίληψη:The relationship between current account developments and changes in the macroeconomic environment remains a key issue in open economy macroeconomics. This paper extends the standard intertemporal optimizing model of the current account to incorporate the effects of macroeconomic uncertainty on private savings behavior. It is shown that the greater the uncertainty in national cash flow, defined as output less investment less government expenditure, the greater is the precautionary demand for savings and, other things equal, the larger is the current account surplus. Empirical support for the model is found using quarterly data from four large industrial countries.
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Φυσική περιγραφή:1 online resource (44 pages)
Μορφή:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Πρόσβαση:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students