Is the Parallel Market Premium a Reliable Indicator of Real Exchange Rate Misalignment in Developing Countries /

It is often argued that the parallel market premium is a useful indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in developing countries. The empirical evidence does not, however, suggest the existence of a robust correlation between these two endogenous variables that is independent of the nature of ec...

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Bibliografski detalji
Glavni autor: Ostry, Jonathan
Daljnji autori: Montiel, Peter
Format: Žurnal
Jezik:English
Izdano: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1993.
Serija:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1993/070
Online pristup:Full text available on IMF
Opis
Sažetak:It is often argued that the parallel market premium is a useful indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in developing countries. The empirical evidence does not, however, suggest the existence of a robust correlation between these two endogenous variables that is independent of the nature of economic shocks and various structural relationships in the economy. This paper presents an analytical investigation of the reliability of the parallel market premium as an indicator of real exchange rate misalignment in the context of a fully optimizing model of a developing country. The analysis suggests that one should exercise caution in drawing inferences about the sign and magnitude of real exchange rate misalignment from the parallel market premium.
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Opis:1 online resource (26 pages)
Format:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Pristup:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students