How Do Trade and Financial Integration Affect the Relationship Between Growth and Volatility? /

The influential work of Ramey and Ramey (1995) highlighted an empirical relationship that has now come to be regarded as conventional wisdom-that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in the context of globalization-a term typically used to describe t...

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Bibliografische gegevens
Hoofdauteur: Prasad, Eswar
Andere auteurs: Kose, Ayhan, Terrones, Marco
Formaat: Tijdschrift
Taal:English
Gepubliceerd in: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
Reeks:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/019
Online toegang:Full text available on IMF
Omschrijving
Samenvatting:The influential work of Ramey and Ramey (1995) highlighted an empirical relationship that has now come to be regarded as conventional wisdom-that output volatility and growth are negatively correlated. We reexamine this relationship in the context of globalization-a term typically used to describe the phenomenon of growing international trade and financial integration that has intensified since the mid-1980s. Using a comprehensive new data set, we document that, while the basic negative association between growth and volatility has been preserved during the 1990s, both trade and financial integration significantly weaken this negative relationship. Specifically, we find that, in a regression of growth on volatility and other controls, the estimated coefficient on the interaction between volatility and trade integration is significantly positive. We find a similar, although less significant, result for the interaction of financial integration with volatility.
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Fysieke beschrijving:1 online resource (38 pages)
Formaat:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Toegang:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students