Does Government Spending Crowd In Private Consumption? : Theory and Empirical Evidence for the Euro Area /

In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non- Ricardian households is in general cond...

पूर्ण विवरण

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखक: Coenen, Gunter
अन्य लेखक: Straub, Roland
स्वरूप: पत्रिका
भाषा:English
प्रकाशित: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2005.
श्रृंखला:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2005/159
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:Full text available on IMF
विवरण
सारांश:In this paper, we revisit the effects of government spending shocks on private consumption within an estimated New-Keynesian DSGE model of the euro area featuring non-Ricardian households. Employing Bayesian inference methods, we show that the presence of non- Ricardian households is in general conducive to raising the level of consumption in response to government spending shocks when compared with the benchmark specification without non-Ricardian households. However, we find that there is only a fairly small chance that government spending shocks crowd in consumption, mainly because the estimated share of non-Ricardian households is relatively low, but also because of the large negative wealth effect induced by the highly persistent nature of government spending shocks.
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