Employment Effects of Growth Rebalancing in China.

This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward domestic demand, particularly private consumption. Shifting to a private consumption-led growth likely means more demand for existing and new services as well as reorienting the produ...

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书目详细资料
企业作者: International Monetary Fund
格式: 杂志
语言:English
出版: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2009.
丛编:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2009/169
在线阅读:Full text available on IMF
实物特征
总结:This paper gauges the potential effects on employment of rebalancing China's exportoriented growth model toward domestic demand, particularly private consumption. Shifting to a private consumption-led growth likely means more demand for existing and new services as well as reorienting the production of tradable goods toward domestic markets. In China's case, this would also imply moving a large number of less skilled labor from the tradable sector to the nontradable sector. The paper shows that while rebalancing China's growth toward a domestic-demand-led economy would likely raise aggregate employment and employment opportunities in the longer term, there could be employment losses in the short run as the economy moves away from the tradable sector toward the nontradable sector. Mitigating these costs will require active labor market policies to cushion the employment impact in the transition, particularly in meeting the skills gap of associated with this transition.
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实物描述:1 online resource (16 pages)
格式:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
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