The Role of Financial Variables in Predicting Economic Activity in the Euro Area /
The U.S. business cycle typically leads the European cycle by a few quarters and this can be used to forecast euro area GDP. We investigate whether financial variables carry additional information. We use vector autoregressions (VARs) which include the U.S. and the euro area GDPs as a minimal set of...
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| 其他作者: | , |
| 格式: | 杂志 |
| 语言: | English |
| 出版: |
Washington, D.C. :
International Monetary Fund,
2009.
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| 丛编: | IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ;
No. 2009/241 |
| 在线阅读: | Full text available on IMF |