Structural Models in Real Time /

This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that prediction...

Descrizione completa

Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Clinton, Kevin
Altri autori: Benes, Jaromir, Johnson, Marianne, Laxton, Douglas
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/056
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:This paper outlines a simple approach for incorporating extraneous predictions into structural models. The method allows the forecaster to combine predictions derived from any source in a way that is consistent with the underlying structure of the model. The method is flexible enough that predictions can be up-weighted or down-weighted on a case-by-case basis. We illustrate the approach using a small quarterly structural and real-time data for the United States.
Descrizione del documento:<strong>Off-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
<strong>On-Campus Access:</strong> No User ID or Password Required
Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (35 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students