The Myth of Comoving Commodity Prices /

There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measures the proportion of time that the prices of two commodities are concurrently in the sa...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: McDermott, C.
Otros Autores: Cashin, Paul, Scott, Alasdair
Formato: Revista
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 1999.
Colección:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 1999/169
Acceso en línea:Full text available on IMF
Descripción
Sumario:There is a common perception that the prices of unrelated commodities move together. This paper re-examines this notion, using a measure of comovement of economic time series called concordance. Concordance measures the proportion of time that the prices of two commodities are concurrently in the same boom period or same slump period. Using data on the prices of several unrelated commodities, the paper finds no evidence of comovement in commodity prices. The results carry an important policy implication, as the study provides no support for earlier claims of irrational trading behavior by participants in world commodity markets.
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Descripción Física:1 online resource (20 pages)
Formato:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Acceso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students