U.S. Consumption after the 2008 Crisis /

U.S. household consumption declined sharply in late 2008, marking a departure from the trend of a steady increase in U.S. consumption as a share of income since the 1980s. Combining econometric and simulation analysis, we estimate that this departure will be sustained beyond the crisis: the U.S. hou...

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Hlavní autor: Lee, Jaewoo
Další autoři: Rabanal, Pau, Sandri, Damiano
Médium: Časopis
Jazyk:English
Vydáno: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
Edice:IMF Staff Position Notes; Staff Position Note ; No. 2010/001
On-line přístup:Full text available on IMF
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Shrnutí:U.S. household consumption declined sharply in late 2008, marking a departure from the trend of a steady increase in U.S. consumption as a share of income since the 1980s. Combining econometric and simulation analysis, we estimate that this departure will be sustained beyond the crisis: the U.S. household consumption rate will likely decline somewhat further from its current level, as the saving rate rises to around 6 percent of disposable personal income (from nearly 5 percent in 2009). Compared to the pre-crisis years (2003-07), this saving rate implies a decline in U.S. private-sector demand on the order of 3 percentage points of GDP.
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Fyzický popis:1 online resource (23 pages)
Médium:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:2617-6742
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