Yield Spread as a Leading Indicator of Real Economic Activity : An Empirical Exercise on the Indian Economy /

There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yield spread in the government securities market to movements in the index of industrial...

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Dettagli Bibliografici
Autore principale: Goyal, Rajan
Altri autori: Kanagasabapathy, K.
Natura: Periodico
Lingua:English
Pubblicazione: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2002.
Serie:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2002/091
Accesso online:Full text available on IMF
Descrizione
Riassunto:There is growing evidence that the yield spread could serve as a leading indicator of real economic activity. This paper is an attempt to test this hypothesis for the Indian economy by relating movements in the yield spread in the government securities market to movements in the index of industrial production. The results show that yield spread could, inter alia, be considered as a leading indicator of industrial activity in India.
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Descrizione fisica:1 online resource (20 pages)
Natura:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Accesso:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students