The Us Federal Debt Outlook : Reading the Tea Leaves /

We show that fiscal policies reflecting a primary balance response to higher debt in line with historic experience would significantly increase the likelihood of reaching the debt targets of the U.S. administration in the medium term. Deficits and debt are higher under current budgetary proposals an...

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التفاصيل البيبلوغرافية
المؤلف الرئيسي: Celasun, Oya
مؤلفون آخرون: Keim, Geoffrey
التنسيق: دورية
اللغة:English
منشور في: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2010.
سلاسل:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2010/062
الموضوعات:
الوصول للمادة أونلاين:Full text available on IMF
الوصف
الملخص:We show that fiscal policies reflecting a primary balance response to higher debt in line with historic experience would significantly increase the likelihood of reaching the debt targets of the U.S. administration in the medium term. Deficits and debt are higher under current budgetary proposals and IMF projections for real activity and interest rates, which do not include a reaction of policies to rising primary deficits. Under the IMF staff's current economic projections, a primary fiscal adjustment of about 3.5 percent of GDP would be needed to achieve a debt level of about 70 percent of GDP in 2020.
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وصف مادي:1 online resource (18 pages)
التنسيق:Mode of access: Internet
تدمد:1018-5941
وصول:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students