Guarding Against Fiscal Risks in Hong Kong SAR.

Hong Kong SAR's government faces the dual challenges of volatile revenue and medium term spending pressures arising from a rapidly aging population. Age-related spending pressures raise long-run sustainability concerns, while revenue volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entai...

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Detaylı Bibliyografya
Müşterek Yazar: International Monetary Fund
Materyal Türü: Dergi
Dil:English
Baskı/Yayın Bilgisi: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2007.
Seri Bilgileri:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2007/150
Online Erişim:Full text available on IMF
Diğer Bilgiler
Özet:Hong Kong SAR's government faces the dual challenges of volatile revenue and medium term spending pressures arising from a rapidly aging population. Age-related spending pressures raise long-run sustainability concerns, while revenue volatility creates risks to service provision, possibly entailing sudden tax changes, or even requiring new borrowing. After describing the risks associated with aging, the paper uses value at risk techniques to measure the value of the unanticipated risks posed by volatile revenue. The paper also describes the self-insurance value of Hong Kong SAR's traditionally high fiscal savings (reserves), and the impact alternate policy choices could have on revenue volatility.
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Fiziksel Özellikler:1 online resource (19 pages)
Materyal Türü:Mode of access: Internet
ISSN:1018-5941
Erişim:Electronic access restricted to authorized BRAC University faculty, staff and students