World Food Prices, the Terms of Trade-Real Exchange Rate Nexus, and Monetary Policy /

How should monetary policy respond to large fluctuations in world food prices? We study this question in an open economy model in which imported food has a larger weight in domestic consumption than abroad and international risk sharing can be imperfect. A key novelty is that the real exchange rate...

पूर्ण विवरण

ग्रंथसूची विवरण
मुख्य लेखक: Catao, Luis
अन्य लेखक: Chang, Roberto
स्वरूप: पत्रिका
भाषा:English
प्रकाशित: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
श्रृंखला:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/114
ऑनलाइन पहुंच:Full text available on IMF
विवरण
सारांश:How should monetary policy respond to large fluctuations in world food prices? We study this question in an open economy model in which imported food has a larger weight in domestic consumption than abroad and international risk sharing can be imperfect. A key novelty is that the real exchange rate and the terms of trade can move in opposite directions in response to world food price shocks. This exacerbates the policy trade-off between stabilizing output prices vis a vis the real exchange rate, to an extent that depends on risk sharing and the price elasticity of exports. Under perfect risk sharing, targeting the headline CPI welfare-dominates targeting the PPI if the variance of food price shocks is not too small and the export price elasticity is realistically high. In such a case, however, targeting forecast CPI is a superior choice. With incomplete risk sharing, PPI targeting is clearly a winner.
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भौतिक वर्णन:1 online resource (64 pages)
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