Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? : Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel /

This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset of macroeconomic and fiscal variables for a panel of OECD countries for the period 198...

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প্রধান লেখক: Dell'Erba, Salvatore
অন্যান্য লেখক: Sola, Sergio
বিন্যাস: পত্রিকা
ভাষা:English
প্রকাশিত: Washington, D.C. : International Monetary Fund, 2013.
মালা:IMF Working Papers; Working Paper ; No. 2013/159
অনলাইন ব্যবহার করুন:Full text available on IMF
বিবরন
সংক্ষিপ্ত:This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset of macroeconomic and fiscal variables for a panel of OECD countries for the period 1989-2012. We find that two global factors-the global monetary and fiscal policy stances-explain more than 60 percent of the variance in the long-term interest rates. Compared to the estimates from models which do not account for global factors, we find that the importance of domestic variables in explaining long-term interest rates is weakened. Moreover, the propagation of global fiscal shocks is larger in economies characterized by macroeconomic and institutional weaknesses.
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দৈহিক বর্ননা:1 online resource (44 pages)
বিন্যাস:Mode of access: Internet
আইএসএসএন:1018-5941
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